A report on the Web site dwnews.com incorrectly attributes negative comments about the Chinese people and Chinese traditions to a report about the Chinese economy allegedly prepared by the RAND Center for Asia Pacific Policy. No such comments exist in any report prepared by RAND researchers and comments in the article do not accurately represent the views of RAND scholars. Part of the dwnews.com article appears to be based on testimony given in 2005 that can be found here: http://www.rand.org/ pubs/testimonies/CT244/. We have asked the Web site to correct its error.
这个假“兰德报告”中的第一段及第二段的前几句基本还是来自上面 News Advisory 中提到的2005年5月William H. Overholt 在U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission的“证言”（Testimony）[3]:
:
A more serious policy problem is hyper-competition created by cheap financing in China. The irrationalities of the Chinese financial system mean that in key sectors like steel China builds too many factories, and props up too many moribund companies, causing massive overcapacity. In recent years Chinese financial vagaries have led to excessive construction and huge demand for steel, aluminum, cement and others. For a while this has buoyed the global steel industry, including ours. But it has also led to construction of so many steel factories in China that soon China will have half of all world capacity. That means overproduction and eventually a steel price bust.
In the medium term China faces daunting challenges. Its banks are the worst in the world that we know about. In each generation a population about the size of the United States will move from China’s countryside to its cities. Each year 12-13 million new workers join the work force. The impact of productivity on employment in manufacturing is much more severe than in our country. All these people need jobs. For a considerable period China’s high growth can be sustained, but only through heroic reform measures by China’s leaders. If somehow China powers through these problems, by 2020 its aging population will have the worst ratio of workers to non-workers of any population in the world, including Japan’s. That is to say, without some miraculous new policies the Chinese economy may well hit a wall in that period. In 2020, they will still be a very poor country by our standards. Even if their success continues until then, they will not be taking over the world.
[3] William H. Overholt, China and Globalization, Testimony present to U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, May 19, 2005
（http://www.rand.org/pubs/testimonies/2005/RAND_CT244.pdf）作者: bigteacher 时间: 2010-9-18 00:33
5000年来就没变成过最穷的國镓作者: hasuprobe 时间: 2010-9-18 08:45
SB兰德 用不了10年 中国GDP就超过美国啦作者: 豆腐 时间: 2010-9-18 09:08
说的倒不无道理，但标题应该改一下。作者: 老汉推车 时间: 2010-9-18 09:09
最开始就看到个错别字。。。然后就果断不看了。。
福址——“福祉”作者: 王子 时间: 2010-9-18 09:37
这文章写的是人类的共性作者: 小菜王PA 时间: 2010-9-18 09:38
日死敌人。。作者: prettypig 时间: 2010-9-18 10:11
不管是不是YY文，但里面说的问题总是客观存在的吧作者: [CUGL].eyeS` 时间: 2010-9-18 10:21
说教什么的最讨厌了作者: 丹丹 时间: 2010-9-18 10:32
不说别的,中国人为了自己的利益着想是铁定的事实.全世界最大的商品出口过是中国,但全世界没有一个大品牌是属于中国的.作者: 怕娃落地 时间: 2010-9-18 10:38
兰德公司非常无奈作者: Pirlo 时间: 2010-9-18 11:32
提示: 作者被禁止或删除 内容自动屏蔽作者: tensor 时间: 2010-9-18 20:21
看了这篇文章，感到这个智库不怎么样啊作者: 小佳 时间: 2010-9-18 20:38
Project RAND began after World War II as a special initiative within the Douglas Aircraft Company of Santa Monica, California. The purpose was to continue in peacetime the advances in knowledge that civilian research scientists had been recruited to develop during the war. Early research was conducted for only one client—the U.S. Army Air Forces—and focused exclusively on U.S. national security. In 1948, Project RAND separated from Douglas Aircraft and became the RAND Corporation, an independent, nonprofit organization dedicated to promoting scientific, educational, and charitable purposes for the public welfare. RAND diversified its research focus and for more than six decades has used scientific analysis to help individuals, families, and communities throughout the world be safer, healthier, and more prosperous.
